AFC Telford Unitedvs
Darlington 1883
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Telford United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Telford United 2-1 Darlington 1883
Original prediction
AFC Telford United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.6% | 42.2% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.7% | 25.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.6% | 32.0% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
AFC Telford United
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
AFC Telford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80