AFC Telford Unitedvs
Bedford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Telford United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Telford United 0-1 Bedford Town
Original prediction
AFC Telford United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.6% | 40.6% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.5% | 24.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.9% | 34.6% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
AFC Telford United
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
AFC Telford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00