AFC Malmovs
Skövde AIK
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Malmo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Malmo 4-2 Skövde AIK
Original prediction
AFC Malmo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.8% | 60.1% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.1% | 20.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.2% | 19.1% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
AFC Malmo
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
AFC Malmo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80