Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AFC Malmo are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lund are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lund hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Ettan - Södra, while Lund holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
13.1%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60