AFC Malmovs
Atvidabergs FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Malmo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Malmo 2-2 Atvidabergs FF
Original prediction
AFC Malmo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.7% | 43.3% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 27.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.6% | 29.1% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
AFC Malmo
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
AFC Malmo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60