AFC Malmovs
Angelholms FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Malmo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Malmo 2-3 Angelholms FF
Original prediction
AFC Malmo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.1% | 64.7% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.5% | 18.8% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.4% | 16.6% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
AFC Malmo
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
AFC Malmo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40