GGOALVIO

Kenya · FKF Premier League · 10/25/2026, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Leopards · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: AFC Leopards 0-0 Shabana, with an exact score probability of 26%.

Prediction record

Final result

AFC Leopards 0-0 Shabana

Original prediction

AFC Leopards

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8249.4%49.2%-0.2 pts
Draw3.0329.8%32.1%2.4 pts
Away4.3220.8%18.7%-2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.2 pts

Projected Score

AFC Leopards 0–0 Shabana

Exact score probability: 26%

Predicted outcome

AFC Leopards

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

AFC Leopards has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC LeopardsLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ShabanaDWLDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AFC LeopardsShabana
31.4Attack37.3
77.5Defence55.9
50.0Form37.3
55.0Power44.8
0.93xG0.45
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