AFC Hornchurchvs
Yeovil Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeovil Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Hornchurch 1-2 Yeovil Town
Original prediction
Yeovil Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.3% | 19.2% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.1% | 20.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.6% | 60.4% | 19.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Yeovil Town
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Yeovil Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 21 · GA 7 · avg 4.20/1.40