AFC Hornchurchvs
Woking
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Hornchurch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Hornchurch 1-0 Woking
Original prediction
AFC Hornchurch
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.2% | 48.9% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.3% | 24.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.6% | 26.4% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
AFC Hornchurch
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
AFC Hornchurch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00