GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Hornchurch · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

AFC Hornchurch are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Margate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Hornchurch hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.9% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while AFC Hornchurch holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Hornchurch

Probability

86.9%

Model confidence

86.9%

AFC Hornchurch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC HornchurchWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
MargateWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AFC HornchurchMargate
75.4Attack39.7
73.0Defence36.5
79.4Form31.0
75.5Power38.4
3.48xG0.55
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