AFC Fyldevs
Scunthorpe
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Fylde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Fylde 2-0 Scunthorpe
Original prediction
AFC Fylde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.6% | 54.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.1% | 22.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.3% | 23.2% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
AFC Fylde
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
AFC Fylde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40