GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Fylde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

AFC Fylde 2-0 Forest Green

Original prediction

AFC Fylde

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7133.8%39.6%5.8 pts
Draw3.6724.9%25.1%0.1 pts
Away2.2241.3%35.4%-5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

AFC Fylde

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

AFC Fylde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC FyldeLWDLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Forest GreenLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AFC FyldeForest Green
66.7Attack55.6
33.3Defence33.3
44.4Form66.7
51.1Power55.1
1.88xG1.58
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