AFC Fyldevs
Chesterfield
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesterfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
AFC Fylde are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chesterfield are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesterfield hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 67.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the National League, while Chesterfield holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesterfield
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00