AFC Fyldevs
Altrincham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Fylde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Fylde 1-2 Altrincham
Original prediction
AFC Fylde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.6% | 67.0% | 9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.1% | 17.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.4% | 15.3% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
AFC Fylde
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
AFC Fylde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80