AFC Eskilstunavs
Stocksund
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Eskilstuna 2-0 Stocksund
Original prediction
AFC Eskilstuna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 81.2% | 76.2% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.92 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 12.51 | 7.3% | 10.9% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–19%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
AFC Eskilstuna
Probability
76.2%
Model confidence
76.2%
AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40