AFC Eskilstunavs
Stockholm Internazionale
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockholm Internazionale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Eskilstuna 1-3 Stockholm Internazionale
Original prediction
Stockholm Internazionale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.58 | 19.7% | 19.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.1% | 20.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.3% | 59.6% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Stockholm Internazionale
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Stockholm Internazionale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60