GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

AFC Eskilstuna 2-1 Sollentuna

Original prediction

AFC Eskilstuna

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8648.9%43.5%-5.3 pts
Draw3.6025.3%26.0%0.7 pts
Away3.5125.9%30.5%4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

AFC Eskilstuna

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC EskilstunaWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SollentunaWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AFC EskilstunaSollentuna
100.0Attack62.2
100.0Defence52.2
100.0Form51.1
97.0Power55.2
1.96xG1.52
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