AFC Eskilstunavs
Piteå
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Eskilstuna 1-0 Piteå
Original prediction
AFC Eskilstuna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 58.6% | 45.9% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.5% | 25.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 18.9% | 28.3% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
AFC Eskilstuna
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80