GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/10/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

AFC Eskilstuna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while GIF Sundsvall are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Eskilstuna hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 25.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Superettan, while AFC Eskilstuna holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Eskilstuna

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC EskilstunaDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
GIF SundsvallWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC EskilstunaGIF Sundsvall
31.1Attack24.1
53.3Defence22.2
34.4Form16.7
41.7Power25.0
1.64xG0.65
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