AFC Eskilstunavs
Gefle IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Eskilstuna 0-1 Gefle IF
Original prediction
AFC Eskilstuna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.8% | 46.9% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 25.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.2% | 27.3% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
AFC Eskilstuna
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40