GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AFC Emley are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Guiseley AFC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Emley hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Non League Premier - Northern, favouring a draw with 13.3% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

27.8%

Model confidence

13.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC EmleyDLLW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Guiseley AFCLDLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
AFC EmleyGuiseley AFC
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.56xG1.08
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