AFC Emleyvs
Gainsborough Trinity
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gainsborough Trinity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Emley 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity
Original prediction
Gainsborough Trinity
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.96 | 22.7% | 20.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 23.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.1% | 55.2% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Gainsborough Trinity
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Gainsborough Trinity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80