AFC Emleyvs
Bamber Bridge
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 11/3/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bamber Bridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Emley 0-3 Bamber Bridge
Original prediction
Bamber Bridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.1% | 37.3% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 24.9% | 24.9% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.0% | 37.8% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bamber Bridge
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Bamber Bridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 20 · avg 0.40/4.00
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20