AFC Bournemouth U21vs
Middlesbrough U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Bournemouth U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Bournemouth U21 3-1 Middlesbrough U21
Original prediction
AFC Bournemouth U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.7% | 39.7% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.8% | 27.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.4% | 33.0% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
AFC Bournemouth U21
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
AFC Bournemouth U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00