AFC Bournemouth U21vs
Brentford U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Bournemouth U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Bournemouth U21 3-4 Brentford U21
Original prediction
AFC Bournemouth U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.9% | 46.6% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.4% | 21.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.8% | 31.9% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
AFC Bournemouth U21
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
AFC Bournemouth U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80