GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/29/2026, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Amsterdam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

AFC Amsterdam 2-0 ROHDA Raalte

Original prediction

AFC Amsterdam

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3965.5%53.3%-12.2 pts
Draw4.6919.3%22.9%3.6 pts
Away5.9715.2%23.7%8.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

AFC Amsterdam

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

AFC Amsterdam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC AmsterdamWLLDW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ROHDA RaalteLLW

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
AFC AmsterdamROHDA Raalte
66.7Attack16.7
16.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power12.2
2.39xG1.40
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