AFC Amsterdamvs
Hoek
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/10/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Amsterdam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Amsterdam 2-0 Hoek
Original prediction
AFC Amsterdam
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.5% | 41.3% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.3% | 23.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.2% | 35.2% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
AFC Amsterdam
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
AFC Amsterdam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80