AFC Amsterdamvs
Almere City II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/24/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Amsterdam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Amsterdam 0-1 Almere City II
Original prediction
AFC Amsterdam
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.7% | 38.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 25.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.1% | 35.8% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–16%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
AFC Amsterdam
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
AFC Amsterdam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20