Afan Lidovs
Ynyshir Albions
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ynyshir Albions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Afan Lido 0-0 Ynyshir Albions
Original prediction
Ynyshir Albions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.9% | 36.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 24.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.4% | 39.2% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ynyshir Albions
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Ynyshir Albions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60