GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Afan Lido are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ynyshir Albions are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ynyshir Albions hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring a draw with 10.2% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.4%

Model confidence

10.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Afan LidoWLLWW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ynyshir AlbionsDWDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Afan LidoYnyshir Albions
100.0Attack33.3
16.7Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
51.2Power64.8
1.84xG1.70
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