Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Afan Lido · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Afan Lido 2-3 Penybont
Original prediction
Afan Lido
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 01:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Afan Lido
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Afan Lido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Afan LidoDLDWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PenybontWLWWW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Afan LidoPenybont
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.20xG1.88