AFADvs
CS Sfaxien
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Confederation Cup · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFAD · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFAD 1-1 CS Sfaxien
Original prediction
AFAD
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.1% | 37.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.2% | 30.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.8% | 32.9% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
AFAD
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
AFAD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AFADDDLDD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
CS SfaxienLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AFADCS Sfaxien
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence83.3
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power56.2
1.13xG1.07