AF Elbasanivs
Vora
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AF Elbasani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AF Elbasani 1-1 Vora
Original prediction
AF Elbasani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.6% | 53.4% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.8% | 25.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.6% | 21.4% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
AF Elbasani
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
AF Elbasani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00