AF Elbasanivs
Vllaznia Shkodër
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 8/29/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AF Elbasani 0-0 Vllaznia Shkodër, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
AF Elbasani 1-1 Vllaznia Shkodër
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.1% | 35.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 32.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.1% | 32.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.13 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
AF Elbasani 0–0 Vllaznia Shkodër
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AF ElbasaniDDDWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vllaznia ShkodërDDWLL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
AF ElbasaniVllaznia Shkodër
37.0Attack37.7
64.8Defence67.5
46.3Form52.6
51.2Power54.1
0.76xG0.73