Cupa României
Aerostar Bacau
Home
CSM FC Vaslui
AwayThe model projects 1.66 xG for Aerostar Bacau and 1.00 xG for CSM FC Vaslui — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with CSM FC Vaslui holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Aerostar Bacau finding the net in 9 of 10 matches and CSM FC Vaslui in 6 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.67 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesCSM FC VasluiProbability breakdown
Aerostar Bacau leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Aerostar Bacau Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1
Aerostar Bacau host CSM FC Vaslui in Cupa României. Aerostar Bacau have recorded LDWWLW in recent matches while CSM FC Vaslui arrive with a run of DWDLWL. These sides have met 7 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Aerostar Bacau are generating a clear xG advantage — 1.66 projected against 1.00 for CSM FC Vaslui. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.66 is the clearest signal in the model that Aerostar Bacau are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Aerostar Bacau's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If CSM FC Vaslui defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Aerostar Bacau fail to score in the first half.
Risk factors
- ⚠Aerostar Bacau have been conceding 2.49 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠These sides have drawn 2 of their last 7 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
Recent form
CSM FC Vaslui
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aerostar Bacau vs CSM FC Vaslui?
GoalVio's model predicts Aerostar Bacau to win with 50% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Aerostar Bacau vs CSM FC Vaslui?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Aerostar Bacau vs CSM FC Vaslui?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aerostar Bacau vs CSM FC Vaslui?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.