AELvs
Omonia 29is Maiou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEL · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEL 2-1 Omonia 29is Maiou
Original prediction
AEL
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.5% | 43.4% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.5% | 24.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 5.11 | 18.0% | 31.9% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
AEL
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
AEL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AELWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Omonia 29is MaiouLLDDW
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AELOmonia 29is Maiou
50.0Attack75.0
41.7Defence41.7
75.0Form41.7
56.2Power52.8
1.71xG1.65