AELvs
Anorthosis
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEL · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEL 2-0 Anorthosis
Original prediction
AEL
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.1% | 37.8% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.9% | 25.6% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 27.0% | 36.6% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
AEL
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
AEL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AELWDWLD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AnorthosisLDLWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AELAnorthosis
50.8Attack42.6
43.3Defence61.1
45.0Form49.1
47.9Power52.2
1.26xG1.34