AEK Larnacavs
Omonia Nicosia
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Nicosia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEK Larnaca 2-0 Omonia Nicosia
Original prediction
Omonia Nicosia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 28.0% | 35.1% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 26.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 44.3% | 38.0% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Nicosia
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Omonia Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40