AEK Larnacavs
Omonia Aradippou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Larnaca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou
Original prediction
AEK Larnaca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.8% | 53.1% | -15.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.4% | 24.8% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 7.78 | 11.8% | 22.1% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
AEK Larnaca
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
AEK Larnaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60