AEK LarnacavsLegia Warszawa

AEK Larnaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Legia Warszawa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.