GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/10/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AEK Larnaca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AEK Larnaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FK Partizan are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AEK Larnaca hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while AEK Larnaca holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AEK Larnaca

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

AEK Larnaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AEK LarnacaLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FK PartizanWWLLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AEK LarnacaFK Partizan
41.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
41.7Form16.7
45.7Power36.5
1.41xG1.20
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