AEK Larnacavs
Ethnikos Achna
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 8/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Larnaca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
AEK Larnaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ethnikos Achna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AEK Larnaca hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the 1. Division, while AEK Larnaca holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AEK Larnaca
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
AEK Larnaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40