AEK Larnacavs
Celje
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/31/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Larnaca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AEK Larnaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Celje are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Celje hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while AEK Larnaca holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AEK Larnaca
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
AEK Larnaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40