AEK Larnacavs
Brann
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AEK Larnaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Brann are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Brann hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80