AEK Athens FCvs
Panserraikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Cup · 9/17/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Athens FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEK Athens FC 8-1 Panserraikos
Original prediction
AEK Athens FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.07 | 85.8% | 54.8% | -31.0 pts |
| Draw | 9.25 | 9.9% | 22.9% | 13.0 pts |
| Away | 21.43 | 4.3% | 22.3% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
AEK Athens FC
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
AEK Athens FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80