AEK Athens FCvs
Panetolikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Athens FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEK Athens FC 5-0 Panetolikos
Original prediction
AEK Athens FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 83.4% | 71.2% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 8.26 | 11.3% | 17.1% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 17.63 | 5.3% | 11.7% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
AEK Athens FC
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
AEK Athens FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00