AEK Athens FCvs
OFI
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Athens FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEK Athens FC 3-0 OFI
Original prediction
AEK Athens FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 75.5% | 53.9% | -21.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.87 | 15.8% | 23.9% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 10.74 | 8.6% | 22.2% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
AEK Athens FC
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
AEK Athens FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40