AEK Athens FCvs
Marseille
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
AEK Athens FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marseille are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Marseille hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Marseille holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marseille
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Marseille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80