AEK Athens FCvs
Levski Sofia
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 8/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levski Sofia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AEK Athens FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Levski Sofia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Levski Sofia hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 73.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the UEFA Champions League, while Levski Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Levski Sofia
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
13.1%
Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40