AEK Athens FCvs
Levski Sofia
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 8/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Athens FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski Sofia
Original prediction
AEK Athens FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 64.0% | 38.5% | -25.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.8% | 27.4% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 7.10 | 13.2% | 34.2% | 20.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
AEK Athens FC
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
AEK Athens FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00