AEK Athens FCvs
Lask Linz
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/8/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Athens FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask Linz
Original prediction
AEK Athens FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 53.4% | 47.0% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 24.0% | 25.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 22.6% | 27.6% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
AEK Athens FC
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
AEK Athens FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20