GGOALVIO

AEK Athens FC logoAEK Athens FCvsBrighton logoBrighton

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/30/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brighton · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AEK Athens FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brighton are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Brighton hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Brighton holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Brighton

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Brighton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AEK Athens FCWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BrightonWDWDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
AEK Athens FCBrighton
33.3Attack45.8
33.3Defence62.5
22.2Form66.7
33.2Power60.0
0.93xG1.65
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